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Game Matchup Breakdown

Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
@
September 16, 2025 6:40 PM ET
PNC Park
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Bullpen Pitchers

ALL BULLPEN PITCHERS
Dennis Santana
Dennis Santana
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
84.9
Fatigue %:
-6.2
IP 2025:
64.0
ERA:
2.25
Outings:
64
FIP:
3.14
Pitch Arsenal:
SL FF FC SI
Player Profile
Dauri Moreta
Dauri Moreta
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
76.2
Fatigue %:
-5.0
IP 2025:
13.1
ERA:
3.38
Outings:
14
FIP:
3.74
Pitch Arsenal:
SL FF
Player Profile
Justin Lawrence
Justin Lawrence
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
80.3
Fatigue %:
-7.9
IP 2025:
12.1
ERA:
0.73
Outings:
12
FIP:
2.73
Pitch Arsenal:
ST SI FF
Player Profile
Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
76.9
Fatigue %:
-1.0
IP 2025:
91.0
ERA:
3.86
Outings:
31
FIP:
3.52
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SL SI CH ST
Player Profile
Cam Sanders
Cam Sanders
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
58.0
Fatigue %:
-20.8
IP 2025:
6.2
ERA:
8.10
Outings:
6
FIP:
8.09
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SL CH ST
Player Profile
Isaac Mattson
Isaac Mattson
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
82.8
Fatigue %:
-13.0
IP 2025:
44.0
ERA:
2.25
Outings:
40
FIP:
3.34
Pitch Arsenal:
FF CH SL
Player Profile
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
83.2
Fatigue %:
-41.2
IP 2025:
62.1
ERA:
2.74
Outings:
24
FIP:
3.04
Pitch Arsenal:
SL FF CU SI
Player Profile
Mike Burrows
Mike Burrows
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
78.1
Fatigue %:
-32.0
IP 2025:
90.0
ERA:
4.10
Outings:
21
FIP:
3.98
Pitch Arsenal:
FF CH SL CU
Player Profile
Evan Sisk
Evan Sisk
Throws:
L
Effective Rtg:
79.2
Fatigue %:
-2.0
IP 2025:
15.1
ERA:
3.52
Outings:
16
FIP:
3.27
Pitch Arsenal:
SI ST FF FC CU
Player Profile
Kyle Nicolas
Kyle Nicolas
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
74.4
Fatigue %:
-24.7
IP 2025:
33.2
ERA:
5.35
Outings:
27
FIP:
4.39
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SL CU
Player Profile
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
77.7
Fatigue %:
-14.0
IP 2025:
20.2
ERA:
5.66
Outings:
5
FIP:
3.43
Pitch Arsenal:
FF CH SL CU
Player Profile
PIT Starter
Paul Skenes
Projected SP: Paul Skenes
Throws: R
vs CHC
Projected Lineup
1 - L - Michael Busch - 1B
2 - R - Nico Hoerner - 2B
3 - S - Ian Happ - LF
4 - L - Moisés Ballesteros - C
5 - R - Carson Kelly - C
6 - L - Pete Crow-Armstrong - CF
7 - R - Dansby Swanson - SS
8 - S - Willi Castro - LF
9 - R - Matt Shaw - 3B

Projected SP: Cade Horton - throws: R
LIKELY TO PITCH
Dennis Santana
Dennis Santana
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
84.9
Fatigue %:
-6.2
Player Profile
Dauri Moreta
Dauri Moreta
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
76.2
Fatigue %:
-5.0
Player Profile
Justin Lawrence
Justin Lawrence
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
80.3
Fatigue %:
-7.9
Player Profile
Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
76.9
Fatigue %:
-1.0
Player Profile
Evan Sisk
Evan Sisk
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
79.2
Fatigue %:
-2.0
Player Profile

Pittsburgh Bullpen Usage & Stats

Last 7 Days
Player IP NP-S ERA Sep-15 Sep-14 Sep-13 Sep-12 Sep-11 Sep-10 Sep-9
Dennis Santana 3.0 30-20 0.00
1.0
9
12-5
1.0
9
8-7
1.0
9
10-8
Dauri Moreta 2.2 34-27 0.00
1.1
14-10
1.1
7
15-13
0.0
11
5-4
Justin Lawrence 1.0 19-13 0.00
1.0
6
19-13
Carmen Mlodzinski 4.0 60-35 0.00
2.0
7
30-22
2.0
6
30-13
Cam Sanders 1.2 39-22 5.42
1.2
39-22
Isaac Mattson 4.0 64-42 2.25
2.0
7
26-15
1.0
8
23-17
1.0
10
15-10
Braxton Ashcraft 7.0 133-82 5.14
4.0
70-46
3.0
5
63-36
Mike Burrows 8.1 117-81 4.32
4.1
1
61-44
4.0
1
56-37
Evan Sisk 2.2 39-22 0.00
0.2
5
8-6
0.2
6
13-4
1.1
7
18-12
Kyle Nicolas 3.2 82-46 9.84
2.0
37-23
0.2
7
21-12
0.0
10
16-7
1.0
8
8-4
Bubba Chandler 6.0 81-56 1.50
6.0
1
81-56
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S

Pittsburgh Bullpen Matchup Analysis

Advanced Snapshot
Cumulative Fatigue & Effectiveness:
Effectiveness Rating:
77.4
Fatigue Factor:
-15.3
Current Overall Rating:
65.7
Bullpen Power Rankings
#17
#17
Expected Game Results
Bullpen Expected Results:
Bullpen Innings Expected:
5.1
Bullpen Runs Expected:
2.49
Blowout Potential:
[]
Starting Pitcher Expected Results:
Starter Innings Expected:
3.2
Starter Runs Expected:
1.01
Early Exit Risk:
[Moderate]
Bullpen Expected Results vs Team
GAME RESULTS EXPECTED AVG OPS FIP ERA xWOBA K% BB% ASSESSMENT
Expected  Overall 0.224 0.638 3.27 3.04 0.305 26.8% 7.6% [Strong]
Expected  vs L 0.218 0.621 - - - 25.8% 9% [Strong]
Expected  vs R 0.254 0.693 - - - 26.7% 6.2% [Above Avg]

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