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Game Matchup Breakdown

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
@
September 16, 2025 6:45 PM ET
Busch Stadium
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Bullpen Pitchers

ALL BULLPEN PITCHERS
Jorge Alcala
Jorge Alcala
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
68.3
Fatigue %:
-17.7
IP 2025:
51.2
ERA:
5.92
Outings:
53
FIP:
5.68
Pitch Arsenal:
FF CU SL SI
Player Profile
John King
John King
Throws:
L
Effective Rtg:
70.3
Fatigue %:
-12.1
IP 2025:
43.2
ERA:
4.95
Outings:
46
FIP:
5.04
Pitch Arsenal:
SI CH SL
Player Profile
JoJo Romero
JoJo Romero
Throws:
L
Effective Rtg:
81.4
Fatigue %:
-10.3
IP 2025:
56.2
ERA:
2.22
Outings:
61
FIP:
3.44
Pitch Arsenal:
SL SI CH FF
Player Profile
Riley O'Brien
Riley O'Brien
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
82.0
Fatigue %:
-5.5
IP 2025:
42.1
ERA:
2.13
Outings:
36
FIP:
3.71
Pitch Arsenal:
SI SL CU
Player Profile
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
80.2
Fatigue %:
-25.1
IP 2025:
81.0
ERA:
3.33
Outings:
58
FIP:
3.13
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SL CU ST CH
Player Profile
Ryan Fernandez
Ryan Fernandez
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
68.9
Fatigue %:
-7.4
IP 2025:
24.0
ERA:
9.00
Outings:
26
FIP:
5.81
Pitch Arsenal:
SL FF FC CH
Player Profile
Chris Roycroft
Chris Roycroft
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
67.2
Fatigue %:
-8.3
IP 2025:
17.0
ERA:
7.41
Outings:
18
FIP:
3.43
Pitch Arsenal:
SI FF FC
Player Profile
Matt Svanson
Matt Svanson
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
82.9
Fatigue %:
-15.8
IP 2025:
54.0
ERA:
1.83
Outings:
34
FIP:
2.90
Pitch Arsenal:
SI ST FC
Player Profile
Gordon Graceffo
Gordon Graceffo
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
76.2
Fatigue %:
-5.0
IP 2025:
39.2
ERA:
5.67
Outings:
23
FIP:
2.96
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SL CU
Player Profile
STL Starter
Michael McGreevy
Projected SP: Michael McGreevy
Throws: R
vs CIN
Projected Lineup
1 - L - TJ Friedl - CF
2 - R - Noelvi Marte - 3B
3 - S - Elly De La Cruz - SS
4 - R - Sal Stewart - 3B
5 - L - Gavin Lux - LF
6 - L - Will Benson - LF
7 - R - Ke'Bryan Hayes - 3B
8 - R - Jose Trevino - C
9 - R - Matt McLain - 2B

Projected SP: Andrew Abbott - throws: L
LIKELY TO PITCH
John King
John King
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
70.3
Fatigue %:
-12.1
Player Profile
Ryan Fernandez
Ryan Fernandez
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
68.9
Fatigue %:
-7.4
Player Profile
Chris Roycroft
Chris Roycroft
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
67.2
Fatigue %:
-8.3
Player Profile
Matt Svanson
Matt Svanson
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
82.9
Fatigue %:
-15.8
Player Profile
Gordon Graceffo
Gordon Graceffo
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
76.2
Fatigue %:
-5.0
Player Profile

St. Louis Bullpen Usage & Stats

Last 7 Days
Player IP NP-S ERA Sep-15 Sep-14 Sep-13 Sep-12 Sep-11 Sep-10 Sep-9
Jorge Alcala 3.1 67-41 5.41
1.1
6
22-13
1.1
6
36-24
0.2
7
9-4
John King 2.0 37-20 0.00
0.2
6-5
0.2
6
16-8
0.2
6
15-7
JoJo Romero 3.1 67-37 5.41
1.0
8
20-13
1.0
8
25-11
1.1
8
22-13
Riley O'Brien 3.0 65-44 9.00
1.0
9
16-10
0.0
9
18-11
2.0
10
31-23
Kyle Leahy 4.1 94-57 10.39
1.0
33-20
1.1
9
31-19
2.0
5
30-18
Ryan Fernandez 1.2 40-22 10.84
0.1
18-8
1.0
12
14-10
0.1
8
8-4
Chris Roycroft 1.1 39-26 20.30
0.1
14-8
1.0
8
25-18
Matt Svanson 3.2 76-46 0.00
2.0
6
41-25
1.2
7
35-21
Gordon Graceffo 0.2 14-8 0.00
0.2
14-8
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S

St. Louis Bullpen Matchup Analysis

Advanced Snapshot
Cumulative Fatigue & Effectiveness:
Effectiveness Rating:
75.3
Fatigue Factor:
-11.9
Current Overall Rating:
66.2
Bullpen Power Rankings
#26
#19
Expected Game Results
Bullpen Expected Results:
Bullpen Innings Expected:
5.1
Bullpen Runs Expected:
2.59
Blowout Potential:
[]
Starting Pitcher Expected Results:
Starter Innings Expected:
3.2
Starter Runs Expected:
1.41
Early Exit Risk:
[Moderate]
Bullpen Expected Results vs Team
GAME RESULTS EXPECTED AVG OPS FIP ERA xWOBA K% BB% ASSESSMENT
Expected  Overall 0.262 0.747 3.95 5.14 0.331 22.1% 9% [Weak]
Expected  vs L 0.238 0.696 - - - 22.8% 9.2% [Average]
Expected  vs R 0.280 0.783 - - - 21.5% 8.8% [Weak]

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