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Game Matchup Breakdown

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
@
June 15, 2025 1:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs

Pittsburgh Bullpen Pitchers

ALL BULLPEN PITCHERS
Ryan Borucki
Ryan Borucki
Throws:
L
Effective Rtg:
75.8
Fatigue %:
-15.0
IP 2025:
24.1
ERA:
5.18
Outings:
27
FIP:
4.18
Pitch Arsenal:
SL SI ST FS
Player Profile
Dennis Santana
Dennis Santana
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
86.9
Fatigue %:
-14.8
IP 2025:
30.0
ERA:
1.80
Outings:
30
FIP:
2.34
Pitch Arsenal:
SL FF FC SI
Player Profile
Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
Throws:
L
Effective Rtg:
76.6
Fatigue %:
-12.0
IP 2025:
29.2
ERA:
3.34
Outings:
32
FIP:
3.14
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SI FC SV
Player Profile
Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
73.3
Fatigue %:
0.0
IP 2025:
26.1
ERA:
3.08
Outings:
25
FIP:
4.17
Pitch Arsenal:
ST FC SI FF
Player Profile
Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
68.1
Fatigue %:
-5.8
IP 2025:
41.2
ERA:
5.40
Outings:
10
FIP:
4.17
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SL ST SI CH
Player Profile
David Bednar
David Bednar
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
84.8
Fatigue %:
-5.5
IP 2025:
23.2
ERA:
3.42
Outings:
27
FIP:
2.14
Pitch Arsenal:
FF CU FS
Player Profile
Isaac Mattson
Isaac Mattson
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
78.1
Fatigue %:
0.0
IP 2025:
7.2
ERA:
1.17
Outings:
6
FIP:
3.20
Pitch Arsenal:
FF SL CH
Player Profile
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
Throws:
R
Effective Rtg:
77.9
Fatigue %:
-8.0
IP 2025:
9.2
ERA:
0.93
Outings:
6
FIP:
2.97
Pitch Arsenal:
SL FF CU SI
Player Profile
PIT Starter
Mitch Keller
Projected SP: Mitch Keller
Throws: R
vs CHC
Confirmed Lineup
1 - S - Ian Happ - LF
2 - L - Pete Crow-Armstrong - CF
3 - R - Seiya Suzuki - LF
4 - L - Michael Busch - 1B
5 - R - Dansby Swanson - SS
6 - R - Nico Hoerner - 2B
7 - R - Justin Turner - 1B
8 - L - Reese McGuire - C
9 - R - Jon Berti - 3B

Projected SP: Colin Rea - throws: R
LIKELY TO PITCH
Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
73.3
Fatigue %:
0.0
Player Profile
Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
68.1
Fatigue %:
-5.8
Player Profile
David Bednar
David Bednar
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
84.8
Fatigue %:
-5.5
Player Profile
Isaac Mattson
Isaac Mattson
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
78.1
Fatigue %:
0.0
Player Profile
Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
Effective Rtg:
Eff Rtg:
77.9
Fatigue %:
-8.0
Player Profile

Pittsburgh Bullpen Usage & Stats

Last 7 Days
Player IP NP-S ERA Jun-14 Jun-13 Jun-12 Jun-11 Jun-10 Jun-9 Jun-8
Ryan Borucki 2.0 27-17 4.50
0.2
12-8
0.1
8
7-4
1.0
7
8-5
Dennis Santana 3.0 33-26 0.00
1.2
8
15-12
1.1
6
18-14
Caleb Ferguson 3.1 40-28 2.70
0.1
8
12-6
1.0
8
7-6
2.0
6
21-16
Chase Shugart 0.2 12-6 0.00
0.2
5
12-6
Carmen Mlodzinski 2.0 25-19 0.00
2.0
6
25-19
David Bednar 2.0 26-19 0.00
1.0
10
13-11
1.0
9
13-8
Isaac Mattson 3.2 41-30 0.00
1.2
7
20-14
2.0
8
21-16
Braxton Ashcraft 3.2 51-31 2.46
2.0
18-14
0.1
6
18-7
1.1
8
15-10
Kyle Nicolas 2.0 37-27 4.50
2.0
8
37-27
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S
IP
In
NP-S

Pittsburgh Bullpen Matchup Analysis

Advanced Snapshot
Cumulative Fatigue & Effectiveness:
Effectiveness Rating:
77.7
Fatigue Factor:
-7.6
Current Overall Rating:
71.7
Bullpen Power Rankings
#10
#10
Expected Game Results
Bullpen Expected Results:
Bullpen Innings Expected:
2.0
Bullpen Runs Expected:
0.96
Blowout Potential:
[]
Starting Pitcher Expected Results:
Starter Innings Expected:
7.0
Starter Runs Expected:
3.29
Early Exit Risk:
[High]
Bullpen Expected Results vs Team
GAME RESULTS EXPECTED AVG OPS FIP ERA xWOBA K% BB% ASSESSMENT
Expected  Overall 0.240 0.681 3.57 3.80 0.318 22.2% 8.1% [Average]
Expected  vs L 0.232 0.682 - - - 14.6% 18.3% [Weak]
Expected  vs R 0.245 0.677 - - - 11.9% 6.6% [Below Avg]

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